UMIN-CTR Clinical Trial

Unique ID issued by UMIN UMIN000018691
Receipt number R000021637
Scientific Title Prospective Validation of Mathematical Expression for The Time to Cardiovascular Events using the Clinical Parameters in Patients with Heart Failure
Date of disclosure of the study information 2015/08/17
Last modified on 2022/02/19 11:00:11

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Basic information

Public title

Prospective Validation of Mathematical Expression for The Time to Cardiovascular Events using the Clinical Parameters in Patients with Heart Failure

Acronym

Mathematical Prediction of Prognosis for Patients with Heart Failure (PPP study)

Scientific Title

Prospective Validation of Mathematical Expression for The Time to Cardiovascular Events using the Clinical Parameters in Patients with Heart Failure

Scientific Title:Acronym

Mathematical Prediction of Prognosis for Patients with Heart Failure (PPP study)

Region

Japan


Condition

Condition

acute decompensated heart failure

Classification by specialty

Cardiology

Classification by malignancy

Others

Genomic information

NO


Objectives

Narrative objectives1

In the clinical settings, prognoses for patients with certain diseases are estimated from the results of large-scale trials. To investigate the potential factors for the estimation of prognosis, we formulated the equation to estimate the day of its rehospitalization owing to heart failure and we determined the function f to mathematically formulate the relationship between clinical characteristics and outcomes for these patients. We verify this equation prospectively.

Basic objectives2

Efficacy

Basic objectives -Others


Trial characteristics_1

Confirmatory

Trial characteristics_2

Pragmatic

Developmental phase

Not applicable


Assessment

Primary outcomes

the time for the first rehospitalization for decompensated heart failure obtained by the equation and clincial practice

Key secondary outcomes



Base

Study type

Observational


Study design

Basic design


Randomization


Randomization unit


Blinding


Control


Stratification


Dynamic allocation


Institution consideration


Blocking


Concealment



Intervention

No. of arms


Purpose of intervention


Type of intervention


Interventions/Control_1


Interventions/Control_2


Interventions/Control_3


Interventions/Control_4


Interventions/Control_5


Interventions/Control_6


Interventions/Control_7


Interventions/Control_8


Interventions/Control_9


Interventions/Control_10



Eligibility

Age-lower limit

20 years-old <=

Age-upper limit


Not applicable

Gender

Male and Female

Key inclusion criteria

Hospitalization for occurrence of the acute decompensated heart failure

Key exclusion criteria

The patients whose labratory examinations are sufficient.

Target sample size

200


Research contact person

Name of lead principal investigator

1st name Masafumi
Middle name
Last name Kitakaze

Organization

National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center

Division name

Department of Clinical Medicine and Development

Zip code

565-8565

Address

5-7-1 Fujishirodai, Suita Osaka 565-8565, JAPAN

TEL

06-6833-5012

Email

kitakaze@zf6.so-net.ne.jp


Public contact

Name of contact person

1st name Masafum
Middle name
Last name i Kitakaze

Organization

National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center

Division name

Department of Clinical Medicine and Development

Zip code

565-8565

Address

5-7-1 Fujishirodai, Suita Osaka 565-8565, JAPAN

TEL

06-6833-5012

Homepage URL

http://www.research-assistance.net/HFPR/

Email

kitakaze@zf6.so-net.ne.jp


Sponsor or person

Institute

National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center

Institute

Department

Personal name



Funding Source

Organization

National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center

Organization

Division

Category of Funding Organization

Japanese Governmental office

Nationality of Funding Organization

Japan


Other related organizations

Co-sponsor


Name of secondary funder(s)



IRB Contact (For public release)

Organization

National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center

Address

5-7-1 Fujishirodai, Suita Osaka 565-8565, JAPAN

Tel

06-6833-5012

Email

kitakaze@zf6.so-net.ne.jp


Secondary IDs

Secondary IDs

NO

Study ID_1


Org. issuing International ID_1


Study ID_2


Org. issuing International ID_2


IND to MHLW



Institutions

Institutions



Other administrative information

Date of disclosure of the study information

2015 Year 08 Month 17 Day


Related information

URL releasing protocol

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5838101/

Publication of results

Published


Result

URL related to results and publications

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29507373/

Number of participants that the trial has enrolled

213

Results

we created a mathematical formula f(x) that precisely predicted the occurrence probability of future cardiovascular outcomes of HF patients per day

Results date posted

2022 Year 02 Month 19 Day

Results Delayed


Results Delay Reason


Date of the first journal publication of results


Baseline Characteristics

heart failure

Participant flow

we prospectively examined the predictability of f(x) in other 213 patients using 50 clinical parameters in 3 hospitals

Adverse events

heart failure cardiovascular death

Outcome measures

time to the onset of heart failure or cardiovascular death

Plan to share IPD


IPD sharing Plan description



Progress

Recruitment status

Completed

Date of protocol fixation

2012 Year 10 Month 16 Day

Date of IRB

2013 Year 01 Month 01 Day

Anticipated trial start date

2013 Year 01 Month 01 Day

Last follow-up date

2015 Year 10 Month 01 Day

Date of closure to data entry

2015 Year 10 Month 01 Day

Date trial data considered complete

2016 Year 01 Month 01 Day

Date analysis concluded

2016 Year 03 Month 31 Day


Other

Other related information

We enroll all of the patients who matches the entry criteria in each hospital.
age
sex
family living together


the cause of HF
CVD
DCM
HHD
IHD
valve

comorbidity
HT
dyslipidemia
Af
Cerebral VD
COPD

NYHA
HR
edema

CRT
ICD
pacemaker

at admission
blood albumin
CRP

at admission
LVDs
FS

At discharge
WBC
AST
BUN
UA

CRP
BNP

FS
wall thickness
MR
AR
TR

ARB
anti-inflammation
bronchodilator
anti-allergy
anti-platelet
drugs for psychogenic disease
beta blocker
digitalis
diuretics
drugs for constipation
drugs for thyroid gland
drugs for gall stone
drugs for dyslipidemia
drugs for intestine
inotropic agent
PPI
vitamin drugs


Management information

Registered date

2015 Year 08 Month 17 Day

Last modified on

2022 Year 02 Month 19 Day



Link to view the page

Value
https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000021637


Research Plan
Registered date File name

Research case data specifications
Registered date File name

Research case data
Registered date File name