UMIN-ICDS Clinical Trial

Unique ID issued by UMIN UMIN000053040
Receipt number R000060514
Scientific Title Simple Severity Scale for Perforated Peptic Ulcer with Generalized Peritonitis
Date of disclosure of the study information 2023/12/09
Last modified on 2023/12/09 00:03:55

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Basic information

Public title

Simple Severity Scale for Perforated Peptic Ulcer with Generalized Peritonitis

Acronym

Scale for Perforated Peptic Ulcer

Scientific Title

Simple Severity Scale for Perforated Peptic Ulcer with Generalized Peritonitis

Scientific Title:Acronym

Scale for Perforated Peptic Ulcer

Region

Japan


Condition

Condition

Perforated Peptic Ulcer with Generalized Peritonitis

Classification by specialty

Gastrointestinal surgery

Classification by malignancy

Others

Genomic information

NO


Objectives

Narrative objectives1

To develope a severity scale for PPU with generalized peritonitis

Basic objectives2

Others

Basic objectives -Others

To validate the severity scale for PPU with generalized peritonitis

Trial characteristics_1


Trial characteristics_2


Developmental phase



Assessment

Primary outcomes

Severe postoperative adverse events

Key secondary outcomes



Base

Study type

Observational


Study design

Basic design


Randomization


Randomization unit


Blinding


Control


Stratification


Dynamic allocation


Institution consideration


Blocking


Concealment



Intervention

No. of arms


Purpose of intervention


Type of intervention


Interventions/Control_1


Interventions/Control_2


Interventions/Control_3


Interventions/Control_4


Interventions/Control_5


Interventions/Control_6


Interventions/Control_7


Interventions/Control_8


Interventions/Control_9


Interventions/Control_10



Eligibility

Age-lower limit

15 years-old <=

Age-upper limit

120 years-old >

Gender

Male

Key inclusion criteria

patients aged older than 15 years
those with PPU in the stomach or duodenum with an ICD-10 code of K25.1, K25.2, K25.5, K25.6, K26.1, K26.2, K26.5, or K26.6
those who underwent laparotomy for generalized peritonitis

Key exclusion criteria

Patients who had co-diagnosis of other gastrointestinal perforation (e.g., perforated diverticulitis) and duplicate cases were excluded

Target sample size

12652


Research contact person

Name of lead principal investigator

1st name Ryo
Middle name
Last name Yamamoto

Organization

Keio University School of Medicine

Division name

Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine

Zip code

1608582

Address

35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku, Tokyo

TEL

0332251323

Email

ryo.yamamoto@gmail.com


Public contact

Name of contact person

1st name Ryo
Middle name
Last name Yamamoto

Organization

Keio University School of Medicine

Division name

Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine

Zip code

1608582

Address

35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku, Tokyo

TEL

0332251323

Homepage URL


Email

ryo.yamamoto@gmail.com


Sponsor or person

Institute

Keio University

Institute

Department

Personal name



Funding Source

Organization

None

Organization

Division

Category of Funding Organization

Other

Nationality of Funding Organization



Other related organizations

Co-sponsor


Name of secondary funder(s)



IRB Contact (For public release)

Organization

Keio University School of Medicine, Institutional Review Board

Address

35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku, Tokyo

Tel

0333531211

Email

med-rinri-jimu@adst.keio.ac.jp


Secondary IDs

Secondary IDs

NO

Study ID_1


Org. issuing International ID_1


Study ID_2


Org. issuing International ID_2


IND to MHLW



Institutions

Institutions



Other administrative information

Date of disclosure of the study information

2023 Year 12 Month 09 Day


Related information

URL releasing protocol


Publication of results

Unpublished


Result

URL related to results and publications


Number of participants that the trial has enrolled

12652

Results

Age, respiratory distress, preoperative sepsis, III/IV/V of American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status, albumin, and creatinine were selected for the final model. The 0-11 scoring system was developed with c-statistics of 0.812-0.819, and the estimated and observed probability of postoperative adverse events gradually increased from 0% at a score of <=2 to >50% at >=8. The score >=5 had 97.5%-97.9% of NPV for postoperative adverse events.

Results date posted

2023 Year 12 Month 08 Day

Results Delayed


Results Delay Reason


Date of the first journal publication of results


Baseline Characteristics

The cohorts had similar characteristics regardless of the COVID-19 pandemic. More than half of the patients were transported via ambulance (emergency transport), and approximately 95% underwent emergency surgery. Further, <5% of patients presented with comorbidities, whereas the validation cohorts had a relatively higher rate of anticoagulant use than the derivation cohort. Approximately 40% of patients with critical conditions underwent surgery (class III/IV/V based on the ASA-PS classification system).

Participant flow

Among 6043726 patients in the NCD, 12652 aged >=15 years presented with PPU and underwent laparotomy for generalized peritonitis: Therefore, they were eligible to the study. In total, 8998 patients were included in the derivation cohort and 1900 and 1754 in the two validation cohorts.

Adverse events


Outcome measures

Postoperative severe adverse events were observed in 533 (5.9%) patients in the derivation cohort and 138 (7.6%) and 117 (6.9%) in the two validation cohorts. The 30-day mortality rate after surgery and at discharge were 4.3%-5.3% and 6.2%-7.6%, respectively.

Plan to share IPD

Data on individual surgical cases in this study are not publicly available.

IPD sharing Plan description

Data on individual surgical cases in this study are not publicly available. Aggregate data, including data reported in this study, can be accessed by submitting a research plan to the National Clinical Database (NCD) Office and requesting access, commonly via an NCD-related society (such as the Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery). If the proposal is approved, the deidentified data (including participants and related data, if necessary) can be assessed by a statistical specialist affiliated with the NCD.


Progress

Recruitment status

No longer recruiting

Date of protocol fixation

2021 Year 07 Month 31 Day

Date of IRB

2021 Year 08 Month 31 Day

Anticipated trial start date

2023 Year 01 Month 01 Day

Last follow-up date

2023 Year 01 Month 01 Day

Date of closure to data entry


Date trial data considered complete


Date analysis concluded



Other

Other related information

This was a retrospective observational study using data from the National Clinical Database (NCD) in Japan


Management information

Registered date

2023 Year 12 Month 09 Day

Last modified on

2023 Year 12 Month 09 Day



Link to view the page

Value
https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/icdr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000060514


Research Plan
Registered date File name

Research case data specifications
Registered date File name

Research case data
Registered date File name